Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 2-4
AD Plus Ultra vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.5%
7.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1952 |
PUL
2 - 1
ORI
78%
13%
10%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1952 |
RJA
5 - 2
PUL
68%
17%
15%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1952 |
PUL
9 - 1
CPC
73%
15%
12%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1952 |
RCD
6 - 4
PUL
69%
17%
14%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1952 |
PUL
2 - 2
CAT
55%
22%
24%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1952 |
BUR
2 - 3
SAB
42%
22%
36%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1952 |
CDC
4 - 1
BUR
76%
14%
11%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1952 |
BUR
0 - 2
SLA
42%
22%
36%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1952 |
LOG
3 - 0
BUR
78%
14%
9%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1952 |
BUR
3 - 0
AVI
72%
15%
13%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |