AD Plus Ultra vs Alicante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
11.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1958 |
MUR
6 - 1
PUL
71%
17%
12%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1958 |
PUL
3 - 4
CCF
62%
19%
19%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1958 |
CAD
1 - 0
PUL
59%
21%
21%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
PUL
3 - 0
ALC
76%
14%
10%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
ELD
2 - 1
PUL
63%
19%
18%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Alicante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1958 |
ALI
2 - 2
XER
59%
21%
20%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1958 |
SFE
2 - 1
ALI
76%
14%
10%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1958 |
ALI
1 - 3
LEV
56%
21%
23%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
CDB
6 - 1
ALI
75%
14%
10%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
ALI
0 - 2
BET
48%
24%
28%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |