AD Plus Ultra vs Alicante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
3.34
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.7%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
11%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11%
7.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
ATB
3 - 2
PUL
44%
22%
34%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1951 |
LEV
2 - 2
PUL
63%
19%
18%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1951 |
PUL
0 - 1
MLL
60%
19%
21%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1951 |
PUL
3 - 2
ALB
79%
12%
9%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
MEL
4 - 2
PUL
60%
20%
20%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Alicante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
ALI
3 - 1
LEV
40%
21%
39%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1951 |
MLL
2 - 0
ALI
83%
10%
7%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1951 |
ALI
2 - 0
MEL
43%
21%
36%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1951 |
ALI
4 - 2
ORI
71%
15%
14%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
CAT
0 - 4
ALI
64%
17%
18%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |