AD Plus Ultra vs Alcoyano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
25%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1951 |
CAR
2 - 3
PUL
57%
20%
23%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1951 |
PUL
2 - 3
MAL
35%
24%
41%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
BAL
2 - 2
PUL
66%
18%
16%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1951 |
PUL
0 - 0
ALI
81%
11%
8%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
ATB
3 - 2
PUL
44%
22%
34%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1951 |
ALC
1 - 0
LEV
63%
18%
19%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
MLL
3 - 1
ALC
55%
21%
24%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
ALC
6 - 2
MEL
65%
19%
17%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
MUR
4 - 3
ALC
53%
21%
26%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
ALC
4 - 0
RCD
62%
19%
19%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |