1a B Cla. Playoffs Final
Global 1-1
Deportivo Pasto vs Patriotas Boyacá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
16.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Pasto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2011 |
PAT
1 - 0
PAS
34%
26%
40%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
PAS
1 - 0
CEN
61%
23%
17%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
CEN
1 - 1
PAS
34%
26%
40%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
PAS
5 - 1
TFC
62%
23%
15%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2011 |
TFC
1 - 1
PAS
27%
27%
46%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Patriotas Boyacá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2011 |
PAT
1 - 0
PAS
34%
26%
40%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
PAT
3 - 0
RSC
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
PAT
2 - 1
REA
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
AFC
0 - 0
PAT
25%
28%
47%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
CEN
2 - 1
PAT
49%
26%
26%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |