Deportivo Pasto vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
50.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Pasto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
AGU
3 - 4
PAS
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2022 |
PAS
1 - 0
AME
37%
27%
36%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2022 |
AME
2 - 1
PAS
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
PAS
0 - 1
AGU
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
IND
0 - 0
PAS
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
IND
2 - 1
AME
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2022 |
IND
2 - 1
AGU
50%
25%
24%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
AGU
1 - 0
IND
34%
25%
41%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
AME
0 - 2
IND
29%
25%
46%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
IND
0 - 0
PAS
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |