Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
21%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Pasto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
TOL
0 - 0
PAS
65%
22%
14%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
PAS
0 - 1
AGU
43%
28%
29%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
JAG
3 - 1
PAS
35%
28%
37%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
PAS
0 - 1
ALI
53%
25%
21%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 1
PAS
58%
23%
20%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 1
SFE
19%
27%
54%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
PAT
1 - 0
FOR
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 1
IND
22%
26%
52%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
HUI
2 - 1
FOR
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 1
EQU
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |