Conmebol Sudamericana 1/32
Global 3-2
Deportivo Pasto vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
16.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Pasto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
PAS
1 - 0
QUI
55%
25%
20%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 1
PAS
57%
24%
20%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2013 |
PAS
1 - 1
TOL
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2013 |
PAS
0 - 1
AGU
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
AGU
2 - 3
PAS
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
MEL
2 - 2
UNI
45%
28%
27%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
SPC
0 - 0
MEL
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2013 |
MEL
0 - 2
GAR
34%
31%
35%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
COM
1 - 0
MEL
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2013 |
PAC
0 - 0
MEL
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |