Deportivo Pasto vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
44.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Pasto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2023 |
PAS
2 - 1
ENV
50%
28%
22%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
IND
1 - 0
PAS
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
PAS
4 - 0
JAG
44%
29%
28%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 1
PAS
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
PAS
1 - 1
EQU
35%
29%
36%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2023 |
TOL
2 - 2
NAC
40%
27%
33%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
ALI
2 - 1
NAC
28%
26%
46%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
SFE
0 - 2
NAC
34%
27%
39%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
NAC
3 - 1
CHI
66%
21%
13%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 1
AME
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |