Deportivo Pasto vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
39.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Pasto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
PAS
1 - 2
SFE
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ONC
1 - 0
PAS
66%
21%
14%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 1
PAS
27%
28%
45%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 0
PAS
42%
28%
30%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
PAS
2 - 0
CAL
36%
29%
35%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 1
HUI
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2014 |
TOL
2 - 0
NAC
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2014 |
SFE
0 - 1
NAC
47%
26%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 2
TOL
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 2
VIT
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |