Deportivo Pasto vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
32.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Pasto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
PAS
1 - 1
AGU
43%
28%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2013 |
CAL
1 - 1
PAS
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 0
PAS
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
PAS
1 - 0
AFC
73%
18%
9%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2013 |
PAS
1 - 1
SFE
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
CUC
1 - 1
NAC
21%
25%
54%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2013 |
RIO
2 - 0
NAC
21%
25%
55%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 0
PAS
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2013 |
NAC
0 - 1
ENV
72%
18%
11%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
CHI
2 - 3
NAC
31%
28%
41%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |