Copa Colombia Final
Global 0-2
Deportivo Pasto vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Pasto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
PAS
3 - 1
MIL
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2012 |
PAS
3 - 0
BUC
74%
18%
9%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 1
PAS
40%
29%
31%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2012 |
BUC
1 - 0
PAS
22%
25%
53%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
PAS
1 - 1
AGU
48%
27%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
JUN
1 - 0
NAC
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 0
CHI
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 0
EQU
59%
24%
17%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 1
NAC
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
HUI
0 - 0
NAC
22%
25%
54%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |