Oliveirense vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
53.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oliveirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
LOU
1 - 0
ADO
40%
24%
36%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2004 |
SLB
4 - 1
ADO
94%
5%
1%
|
37 | 86 | 49 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
ADO
0 - 2
PEN
18%
23%
60%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
VAR
0 - 0
FAF
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
OLI
0 - 1
VAR
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
VAR
1 - 2
BEL
32%
28%
40%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
MOR
3 - 2
VAR
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
VAR
1 - 3
GFC
24%
26%
49%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |