Oliveirense vs Merelinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.6%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
6.3%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oliveirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ADO
8 - 1
SEN
75%
17%
8%
|
47 | 15 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
OSL
1 - 3
ADO
21%
27%
52%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
ADO
1 - 0
VIL
47%
27%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ARO
2 - 1
ADO
20%
24%
55%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
ADO
1 - 0
MON
69%
20%
12%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
MER
3 - 0
CER
32%
23%
46%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
MER
2 - 0
TOR
18%
20%
62%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | +3 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
MON
2 - 4
MER
83%
11%
6%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
MER
2 - 1
SPA
68%
18%
15%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
RON
1 - 2
MER
24%
22%
54%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |