Oliveirense vs Lusitano FCV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oliveirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ADO
3 - 2
GAF
44%
25%
32%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
OLI
3 - 1
ADO
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
MER
1 - 1
ADO
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
ADO
1 - 3
MAR
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
SAL
3 - 2
ADO
78%
15%
7%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano FCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
MER
2 - 1
LUS
54%
25%
22%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
LUS
1 - 0
MAR
46%
25%
30%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
SAL
2 - 0
LUS
84%
12%
5%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
LUS
3 - 0
AMA
33%
26%
42%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +3 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
OLI
2 - 0
LUS
66%
20%
14%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |