Oliveirense vs Fafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
56.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oliveirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
MON
2 - 2
ADO
14%
17%
69%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
ADO
0 - 1
MIR
60%
23%
18%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
ARO
0 - 0
ADO
21%
20%
59%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
ADO
1 - 1
VIZ
22%
28%
50%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
SMA
2 - 1
ADO
39%
25%
36%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
FAF
3 - 0
BRA
80%
14%
6%
|
51 | 29 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
ATA
1 - 2
FAF
12%
22%
66%
|
51 | 27 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
FAF
1 - 0
MIN
86%
11%
4%
|
51 | 19 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
CAM
0 - 1
FAF
10%
21%
70%
|
51 | 21 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
FAF
2 - 1
MON
80%
14%
6%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |