Oliveirense vs Arões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.1%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
6.3%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oliveirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ADO
1 - 0
VIZ
28%
27%
45%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
TRO
2 - 1
ADO
65%
21%
15%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
COR
4 - 3
ADO
16%
21%
63%
|
46 | 16 | 30 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ADO
1 - 0
SMA
74%
17%
9%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
FEL
0 - 3
ADO
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Arões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ARO
2 - 1
TRO
12%
19%
69%
|
20 | 51 | 31 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
SMA
2 - 1
ARO
65%
19%
16%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ARO
0 - 1
FEL
13%
19%
68%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
TOR
0 - 0
ARO
43%
23%
34%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SMA
2 - 0
ARO
58%
22%
20%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |