Oliveirense vs Amarante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
35.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oliveirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
LUS
3 - 0
ADO
35%
25%
39%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
PED
1 - 2
ADO
16%
23%
61%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
ADO
3 - 0
TOR
72%
18%
11%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
MON
4 - 4
ADO
26%
25%
49%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
ADO
1 - 4
BRA
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 1
MER
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
TMO
0 - 4
AMA
8%
15%
77%
|
46 | 13 | 33 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
AMA
2 - 0
MAR
50%
25%
26%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
PED
2 - 3
AMA
23%
26%
51%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 0
GAN
76%
16%
8%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |