AD Nogueirense vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
63.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
ADM
1 - 1
ADN
50%
21%
29%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
SOU
1 - 0
ADN
42%
26%
32%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
ADN
1 - 1
TOU
50%
25%
26%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
COI
4 - 3
ADN
45%
25%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ADN
0 - 1
ACA
65%
19%
16%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
SOU
0 - 1
UDL
15%
23%
62%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
UDL
32%
26%
43%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2017 |
UDL
4 - 0
MAR
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
GAF
0 - 5
UDL
8%
16%
76%
|
53 | 14 | 39 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
UDL
1 - 1
ANG
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | -1 |