AD Nogueirense vs Tourizense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
14.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
PAM
3 - 2
ADN
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
ADN
3 - 2
ACA
73%
16%
11%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ADN
1 - 7
OPE
27%
26%
48%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ADN
1 - 0
ANG
43%
25%
32%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ADN
1 - 3
NAV
51%
25%
24%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Tourizense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ACA
4 - 1
TOU
39%
24%
37%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
TOU
0 - 0
ANG
23%
25%
53%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
OLI
1 - 0
TOU
65%
21%
14%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
TOU
0 - 3
IDE
35%
27%
39%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
TOU
1 - 2
OLI
26%
25%
48%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |