AD Nogueirense vs Benfica Castelo Branco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
50.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 1
ADN
59%
23%
18%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
ADN
3 - 1
FAL
81%
13%
7%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
OLE
0 - 1
ADN
53%
21%
26%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
ADN
0 - 3
FAV
81%
13%
7%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
ADN
0 - 1
GAF
40%
26%
34%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
BEN
2 - 1
ADM
77%
15%
8%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
LUS
0 - 0
BEN
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
BEN
0 - 2
UDL
34%
25%
41%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
BEN
2 - 1
GAF
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 1
BEN
22%
26%
52%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -1 |