AD Nogueirense vs Sousense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
32%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
TOU
1 - 2
ADN
30%
26%
44%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ADN
3 - 1
COI
33%
27%
39%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
ACA
0 - 0
ADN
29%
22%
49%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
ADN
1 - 0
PAM
58%
22%
20%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 2
ADN
71%
18%
11%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Sousense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
SOU
0 - 0
PAM
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
SOU
1 - 2
TOU
56%
23%
21%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
SOU
64%
21%
15%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
SOU
1 - 0
COI
37%
27%
36%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CIN
2 - 0
SOU
42%
26%
32%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |