AD Nogueirense vs Sourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
26.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 1
ADN
28%
22%
50%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
ADN
0 - 1
BEN
23%
27%
50%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 1
ADN
59%
23%
18%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
ADN
3 - 1
FAL
81%
13%
7%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
OLE
0 - 1
ADN
53%
21%
26%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Sourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
SOU
2 - 0
ADM
47%
24%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
LUS
2 - 1
SOU
73%
17%
10%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
SOU
1 - 1
GAF
32%
26%
42%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
MOR
2 - 0
SOU
48%
25%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
SOU
0 - 2
LEX
12%
21%
67%
|
32 | 61 | 29 | 0 |