AD Nogueirense vs Sourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
28%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
BEN
4 - 1
ADN
65%
20%
15%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
ADN
1 - 1
ADM
64%
19%
17%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
NAV
1 - 1
ADN
76%
16%
7%
|
33 | 58 | 25 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ADN
2 - 2
MAN
76%
15%
9%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
SER
2 - 1
ADN
66%
20%
14%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Sourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 2
NAV
17%
24%
59%
|
33 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 1
MAN
76%
15%
9%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
SER
2 - 1
SOU
66%
20%
14%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 0
CAR
53%
23%
25%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
TOU
1 - 0
SOU
39%
25%
36%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |