AD Nogueirense vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
36.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ALC
0 - 1
ADN
10%
17%
73%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ADN
3 - 0
IRI
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
OLI
0 - 0
ADN
50%
25%
25%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ADN
1 - 1
FAT
25%
26%
49%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
BEN
2 - 0
ADN
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
SER
0 - 0
TOR
39%
28%
34%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
VIL
3 - 0
SER
67%
20%
13%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
SER
0 - 2
OLE
51%
25%
24%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CAL
2 - 2
SER
39%
27%
34%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
SER
0 - 0
SIN
33%
27%
40%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |