AD Nogueirense vs Santa Iria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
12%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
OLI
0 - 0
ADN
50%
25%
25%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ADN
1 - 1
FAT
25%
26%
49%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
BEN
2 - 0
ADN
70%
18%
12%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ADN
0 - 1
LOU
39%
27%
34%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
PEN
0 - 1
ADN
23%
24%
53%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Iria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
IRI
1 - 0
TOR
12%
18%
71%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
SIN
1 - 1
IRI
85%
11%
4%
|
20 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
IRI
0 - 2
PRA
9%
15%
76%
|
21 | 49 | 28 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
IRI
0 - 4
UDL
10%
19%
72%
|
21 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 0
IRI
84%
12%
4%
|
21 | 51 | 30 | 0 |