AD Nogueirense vs CD Santa Clara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
63.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 0
ADN
63%
20%
17%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ADN
1 - 0
ACV
17%
23%
60%
|
28 | 55 | 27 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
TOC
3 - 0
ADN
51%
23%
26%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ADN
2 - 3
COI
36%
25%
40%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
TOC
1 - 2
ADN
50%
23%
27%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Santa Clara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 1
LEX
47%
28%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
VSC
2 - 1
SAN
33%
30%
38%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
OLI
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 1
BMA
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
POR
0 - 0
SAN
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |