AD Nogueirense vs Praiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
39.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
IDE
0 - 0
ADN
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
TOU
2 - 0
ADN
24%
26%
50%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -2 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
ADN
3 - 2
PAM
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ACA
0 - 1
ADN
38%
25%
37%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
OPE
2 - 0
ADN
63%
22%
15%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Praiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
PRA
3 - 0
TOU
63%
22%
15%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ACA
3 - 2
PRA
26%
23%
51%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -2 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
PRA
2 - 1
ANG
40%
25%
35%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
OLI
1 - 4
PRA
43%
24%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
PRA
2 - 0
IDE
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |