AD Nogueirense vs Pampilhosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 2
ADN
71%
18%
11%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ADN
0 - 0
CIN
32%
27%
41%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ADN
1 - 1
MOR
32%
25%
43%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
GAF
4 - 1
ADN
57%
21%
22%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ADN
0 - 0
ACA
69%
17%
14%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Pampilhosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
PAM
2 - 1
TOU
35%
26%
39%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
COI
4 - 0
PAM
70%
18%
12%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
PAM
0 - 1
ANA
21%
23%
56%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
LUS
2 - 0
PAM
76%
15%
9%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
RDA
1 - 2
PAM
72%
16%
12%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +1 |