AD Nogueirense vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
45.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
BEN
2 - 3
ADN
73%
17%
9%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ADN
1 - 0
MOR
75%
16%
10%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
POM
0 - 1
ADN
52%
23%
25%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
TOU
4 - 0
ADN
40%
26%
35%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ADN
2 - 0
VIT
48%
23%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
NAV
1 - 0
VIT
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
PAM
5 - 0
NAV
26%
24%
50%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -2 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
NAV
2 - 0
SOU
59%
23%
18%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
OLI
3 - 0
NAV
24%
25%
52%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -2 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
NAV
0 - 2
TOU
74%
18%
8%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | -1 |