AD Nogueirense vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
62%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
MAN
0 - 1
ADN
27%
24%
49%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
ADN
1 - 2
SER
21%
25%
55%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 0
ADN
47%
23%
29%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ADN
0 - 2
TOU
49%
24%
27%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
PAM
0 - 1
ADN
63%
20%
18%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
NAV
0 - 5
ADM
78%
15%
7%
|
56 | 25 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
NAV
0 - 3
MAN
81%
13%
6%
|
56 | 18 | 38 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
SER
2 - 1
NAV
30%
26%
43%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
NAV
3 - 2
CAR
77%
15%
7%
|
56 | 30 | 26 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
TOU
1 - 0
NAV
15%
24%
62%
|
57 | 32 | 25 | -1 |