AD Nogueirense vs Mortágua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
9.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
POM
0 - 1
ADN
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
TOU
4 - 0
ADN
40%
26%
35%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ADN
2 - 0
VIT
48%
23%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
ADN
3 - 0
PAM
41%
24%
35%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SOU
3 - 1
ADN
65%
21%
14%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Mortágua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
MOR
2 - 3
VIT
22%
22%
56%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
PAM
2 - 1
MOR
75%
15%
10%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
MOR
1 - 0
SOU
14%
20%
66%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | +3 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
MOR
1 - 2
OLI
18%
21%
61%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
NAV
3 - 0
MOR
79%
15%
6%
|
21 | 51 | 30 | 0 |