AD Nogueirense vs Gafanha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
30.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
MOR
0 - 2
ADN
40%
25%
35%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
ADN
2 - 2
SER
26%
27%
48%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
RDA
1 - 1
ADN
51%
24%
26%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ADN
1 - 1
ANA
22%
26%
52%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
SOU
0 - 2
ADN
31%
24%
45%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Gafanha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
GAF
2 - 0
ADM
59%
22%
19%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
LUS
1 - 0
GAF
60%
23%
17%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
GAF
0 - 1
UDL
15%
23%
63%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
GAF
1 - 2
MOR
58%
24%
19%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
SER
0 - 0
GAF
48%
27%
25%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |