AD Nogueirense vs Fornos de Algodres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
6.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
OLE
0 - 1
ADN
53%
21%
26%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
ADN
0 - 3
FAV
81%
13%
7%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
ADN
0 - 1
GAF
40%
26%
34%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
ADN
0 - 2
UDL
14%
23%
64%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
ADM
1 - 1
ADN
50%
21%
29%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fornos de Algodres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
FAL
1 - 4
ADM
14%
18%
68%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
LUS
3 - 0
FAL
88%
9%
4%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
LUS
4 - 1
FAL
78%
13%
9%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
FAL
0 - 1
GAF
15%
20%
65%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 0
FAL
80%
13%
7%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | 0 |