AD Nogueirense vs Fatima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
49.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
BEN
2 - 0
ADN
70%
18%
12%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ADN
0 - 1
LOU
39%
27%
34%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
PEN
0 - 1
ADN
23%
24%
53%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ADN
3 - 1
MAC
87%
10%
4%
|
37 | 13 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 0
ADN
60%
23%
18%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
FAT
1 - 4
BOA
9%
18%
74%
|
44 | 72 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
FAT
2 - 0
CAL
60%
22%
18%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
SIN
2 - 1
FAT
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
FAT
1 - 0
ADO
60%
22%
19%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
FAT
3 - 2
UDL
28%
27%
45%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |