AD Nogueirense vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
22%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
TOR
0 - 2
ADN
56%
24%
20%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
ADN
1 - 0
SIN
26%
27%
47%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +2 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
ADN
2 - 2
VIL
19%
25%
56%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
ALV
1 - 0
ADN
25%
22%
53%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
ADN
2 - 1
UDL
17%
24%
60%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
CAL
2 - 2
OLE
40%
27%
33%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
PEN
0 - 2
CAL
26%
26%
48%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
TOR
1 - 0
CAL
61%
22%
16%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
CAL
3 - 0
MAC
87%
10%
3%
|
37 | 13 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 2
ANA
32%
27%
41%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |