AD Nogueirense vs Manteigas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
SER
2 - 1
ADN
66%
20%
14%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ADN
1 - 0
CAR
53%
22%
25%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
TOU
0 - 1
ADN
48%
24%
27%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ACV
2 - 1
ADN
76%
16%
8%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
ADN
0 - 3
PAM
49%
23%
28%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Manteigas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 1
NAV
12%
21%
68%
|
19 | 60 | 41 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ADM
1 - 0
MAN
70%
18%
13%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
SER
4 - 1
MAN
81%
13%
6%
|
20 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
MAN
0 - 2
CAR
26%
23%
51%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
TOU
0 - 0
MAN
72%
17%
11%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |