AD Nogueirense vs Águias do Moradal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
16.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
NAV
1 - 1
ADN
76%
16%
7%
|
35 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ADN
2 - 2
MAN
76%
15%
9%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
SER
2 - 1
ADN
66%
20%
14%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ADN
1 - 0
CAR
53%
22%
25%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
TOU
0 - 1
ADN
48%
24%
27%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Águias do Moradal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ADM
1 - 2
TOU
38%
26%
36%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ADM
0 - 0
NAV
15%
23%
62%
|
27 | 59 | 32 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
PAM
4 - 1
ADM
70%
17%
13%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ADM
1 - 0
MAN
70%
18%
13%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
SOU
3 - 0
ADM
62%
21%
18%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |