Santa Ana vs Guanacasteca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
47.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
9º
12º
11º
35
4º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Ana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 2
LDA
23%
26%
51%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAN
40%
25%
35%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
PFC
43%
27%
31%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
PER
2 - 1
SAN
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 1
CSC
27%
26%
47%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Guanacasteca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 1
PFC
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CSH
2 - 1
GUA
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 2
GUA
54%
25%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 0
MUN
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SAN
4 - 0
GUA
23%
26%
51%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | -2 |