Santa Ana vs Deportivo Saprissa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
55.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
8º
12º
9º
18
3º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
18 | 42 |
1º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
18 | 41 |
2º
|
27% | |
|
1º
|
19 | 41 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 37 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 35 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 35 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 32 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 29 |
8º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
9 | 21 |
9º
|
40.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 18 |
10º
|
39.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 15 |
11º
|
31.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 15 |
12º
|
50% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 80% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 20% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Ana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
5 - 1
SAN
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 0
COF
63%
21%
17%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
CSH
24%
28%
48%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
LDA
1 - 1
SAN
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 2
SPO
29%
26%
45%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Saprissa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
CSH
2 - 0
SAP
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
SAP
2 - 2
MUN
63%
21%
17%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
PFC
2 - 3
SAP
19%
25%
56%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
SAP
3 - 1
GUA
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
SPO
3 - 1
SAP
34%
27%
39%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |