Santa Ana vs Deportivo Saprissa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
53%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
11º
12º
12º
10
2º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
14 | 39 |
1º
|
29% | |
|
|
6º
|
10 | 38 |
2º
|
15% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 37 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 36 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 35 |
5º
|
7.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 30 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 28 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 28 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 28 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 26 |
10º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 25 |
11º
|
22% | |
|
|
12º
|
1 | 14 |
12º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 68.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 31.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Ana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
SAN
2 - 2
SAN
18%
23%
59%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 2
SPO
26%
26%
48%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
MUN
4 - 0
SAN
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2025 |
PER
1 - 0
SAN
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 2
PFC
40%
27%
33%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Saprissa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
GUA
2 - 0
SAP
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
MUN
2 - 3
SAP
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
SAP
1 - 0
SAN
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
CSH
3 - 1
SAP
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
SAP
0 - 0
PER
72%
17%
10%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |