AD Mérida Promesas vs SP Ribereña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
31.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+282%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Mérida Promesas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
MER
1 - 3
CDV
59%
19%
22%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
CDB
1 - 0
MER
48%
21%
31%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
MER
4 - 1
RHI
75%
14%
11%
|
13 | 6 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 3
MER
26%
21%
53%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
MER
10 - 1
CAM
60%
19%
21%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
SP Ribereña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
SPR
2 - 1
UDF
50%
22%
28%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
SPR
0 - 0
SEG
49%
22%
29%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
SPR
3 - 2
CDV
36%
22%
42%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
CDB
2 - 0
SPR
60%
19%
20%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SPR
3 - 0
RHI
65%
19%
16%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | +1 |