Mercedarias KE vs SD Iru-Bat Santa Lucía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
38.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mercedarias KE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LAU
2 - 0
MKE
61%
19%
20%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
MKE
2 - 2
IKE
51%
21%
28%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
CDA
2 - 4
MKE
11%
16%
73%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
MKE
2 - 5
ZUI
71%
17%
12%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
LAU
2 - 0
MKE
55%
21%
24%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
SD Iru-Bat Santa Lucía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
IRU
1 - 2
ADC
75%
14%
11%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
CDF
5 - 3
IRU
29%
21%
50%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
IRU
4 - 1
AMU
58%
21%
22%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CDS
3 - 3
IRU
38%
24%
38%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
ADC
2 - 3
IRU
26%
21%
53%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |