Mercedarias KE vs CD Aurrera Vitoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
3%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
10.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
64.5%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.9%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mercedarias KE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
ELP
1 - 2
MKE
31%
21%
48%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
MKE
1 - 2
CDS
30%
22%
48%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CDL
1 - 1
MKE
51%
21%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
MKE
0 - 1
ADC
59%
19%
22%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
MKE
3 - 2
ARI
22%
21%
58%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
CD Aurrera Vitoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
AUR
2 - 3
ARI
58%
20%
21%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
LAU
2 - 3
AUR
27%
22%
51%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CDF
2 - 3
AUR
14%
16%
70%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
AUR
2 - 1
AMU
74%
16%
11%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CDS
0 - 2
AUR
20%
19%
61%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | +1 |