AD Marco 09 vs Vila Meã analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
66.9%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+657%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
4º
14º
4º
22
8º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Marco 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 1
ADM
75%
15%
10%
|
13 | 38 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 0
ADM
80%
13%
7%
|
13 | 39 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ADM
2 - 1
FFC
21%
20%
59%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ALQ
1 - 3
ADM
33%
21%
46%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
GON
3 - 0
ADM
87%
9%
4%
|
11 | 38 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Meã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 1
ESA
5%
11%
84%
|
30 | 63 | 33 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 3
ODO
58%
20%
22%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SAL
5 - 0
VIL
62%
22%
16%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FCC
0 - 3
VIL
33%
23%
44%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 0
ACD
85%
10%
5%
|
30 | 10 | 20 | 0 |