AD Marco 09 vs Beira Mar SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3506%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
1º
4º
4º
9
2º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
9 | 49 |
1º
|
29% | |
|
|
2º
|
9 | 48 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 48 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
|
7º
|
6 | 45 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 40 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 39 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 39 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 38 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 36 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 33 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 32 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 25 |
12º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 20 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 16 |
14º
|
45.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
20.5% | 38% |
|
Mid-table
|
73.5% | 59.5% |
|
Relegation
|
6% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Marco 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
LEC
2 - 2
ADM
39%
25%
36%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ADM
4 - 0
GFC
83%
11%
6%
|
39 | 6 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SAL
0 - 3
ADM
53%
24%
23%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
VAR
2 - 2
ADM
59%
22%
19%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ADM
2 - 1
REB
36%
27%
37%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Beira Mar SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
COI
2 - 2
BMA
76%
16%
9%
|
41 | 66 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BMA
2 - 1
CAM
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
REG
0 - 2
BMA
16%
19%
65%
|
40 | 15 | 25 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BMA
0 - 1
LEC
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
BMA
44%
24%
31%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |