Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 1-3
AD Mar Menor vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
49.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Mar Menor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 0
MME
6%
16%
79%
|
46 | 14 | 32 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
HOR
3 - 4
MME
32%
24%
44%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
MME
6 - 0
BAL
87%
9%
4%
|
46 | 17 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
LAS
1 - 1
MME
14%
20%
65%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
MME
3 - 1
IMP
77%
15%
8%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
TOM
1 - 1
LOR
29%
29%
42%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2004 |
PON
3 - 0
LOR
57%
21%
22%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
LOR
2 - 1
PON
45%
23%
32%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
CDB
3 - 1
LOR
48%
24%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2004 |
LOR
1 - 2
MIR
69%
18%
13%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |