Mancha Real AD vs UD La Guardia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
16.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real AD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
ADM
3 - 0
VIL
57%
21%
22%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ADM
1 - 0
VIL
69%
18%
13%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CAS
3 - 1
ADM
14%
21%
65%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
ADM
0 - 0
BAI
76%
15%
10%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 1
ADM
42%
24%
34%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
UD La Guardia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
LAG
3 - 3
VDJ
26%
22%
52%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CDA
4 - 2
LAG
19%
20%
61%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
LAG
4 - 1
CDT
36%
22%
42%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
ICF
2 - 0
LAG
52%
22%
26%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
NAV
3 - 2
LAG
75%
15%
10%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |