AD Lopera vs Recreativo Bailén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
41.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Lopera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
ADL
0 - 2
BCD
23%
20%
57%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ADL
2 - 3
UDG
67%
18%
15%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ADL
1 - 2
LID
19%
20%
61%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ADL
4 - 0
CLU
72%
16%
12%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
ADL
2 - 1
IBR
27%
23%
51%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Recreativo Bailén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
UTI
5 - 3
BAI
55%
22%
23%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
BAI
1 - 1
URG
23%
21%
56%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
BAI
3 - 1
JAB
57%
21%
23%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
BCD
3 - 2
BAI
62%
19%
19%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
BAI
4 - 0
UDG
64%
20%
16%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |