AD Lopera vs Carolinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
57.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Lopera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
VIL
5 - 2
ADL
69%
19%
13%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ADL
1 - 5
ATL
41%
23%
36%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
BEG
2 - 1
ADL
67%
18%
15%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ADL
1 - 1
CDR
49%
22%
30%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CAZ
3 - 2
ADL
48%
21%
31%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Carolinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 0
NAV
57%
21%
23%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CDH
1 - 3
CAR
53%
22%
25%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
VIL
4 - 2
CAR
52%
23%
25%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CAR
4 - 0
ATL
46%
22%
31%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
BEG
2 - 1
CAR
67%
18%
15%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |